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OUT OF MIND » TRUTH IN CONSPIRACY THEORIES? » MISSING & CRASHED PLANES » Today's Media Circus ~ Malaysian Airlines MH370 and MH17. A Criminologist Questions: What are the Probabilities? Is it a Mere Coincidence?

Today's Media Circus ~ Malaysian Airlines MH370 and MH17. A Criminologist Questions: What are the Probabilities? Is it a Mere Coincidence?

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PurpleSkyz

PurpleSkyz
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Malaysian Airlines MH370 and MH17. A
Criminologist Questions: What are the Probabilities? Is it a Mere Coincidence?
July 21, 2014 by ajfloyd
Four months after the vanishing of Malaysia Airlines flight 370, Malaysian Airlines flight 17 was brought down by a surface-to-air missile.
Western Mainstream Media (MSM) hastened–on the basis of very thin evidence joined with the refusal to even mention other evidence–to attribute blame to the “appropriate” party, which in the case of flight 17 happens to be Vladimir Putin.
 Careful observers of the mainstream media processes are well aware that this sort of thing is what we are to expect, and undoubtedly helps explain the very low level of trust people place in MSM institutions.
 Here, of course with the leave of figures such as Anderson Cooper and Barack Obama, we are going to do some of our own thinking about, and analysis of, certain key pieces of evidence.  In so doing, we should not be surprised if we arrive at conclusions different from that which our Ruling Class masters would have us believe.
 First, let’s present the currently prevailing theory as to what happened.  K.T. McFarland, national security analyst at Fox, presents “three possible scenarios” pertaining to the attribution of responsibility.
Of the three “possible” scenarios McFarland presents (and one wonders exactly what scenarios are supposed to be impossible), McFarland (and many others) appears to favor the prospect that pro-Russian rebel separatists are responsible.  The theory is that motive and opportunity coincide in that group better than they do with respect to other potential malfeasants.
 Maybe the separatists are responsible.  But the case is hardly closed, and plenty of evidence that people such as McFarland choose to ignore should be considered as objectively as possible.
First, similar to Malaysia Airlines flight 370, there is evidence that contact with Malaysia Airlines flight 17 was lost in advance of the wayward event. Next, and once more like flight 370, we have evidence that the pilot of Flight 17 actually diverted–purportedly on the basis of a vague sense of being “uncomfortable”–the craft into the dangerous warzone region where it was shot down.
Next, reflect that, on the same day, 55 planes flew over Donetsk just as flight 17 did and that these flight patterns have been in place for some time.
The Normal MH17 Flight Path vs. the Warzone flight path over Donesk Oblast on July 17th
Today's Media Circus ~ Malaysian Airlines MH370 and MH17. A Criminologist Questions: What are the Probabilities? Is it a Mere Coincidence? Ingograph
And here is evidence reported by Zero Hedge that may be very important:
 “While there are various questions that have already emerged from what was supposed to be Ukraine’s “slam dunk” proof confirming Russian rebel involvement in today’s MH-17 tragedy, perhaps one just as gaping question emerges when one looks at what is clearly an outlier flight path in today’s final, and tragic, departure of the Malaysia Airlines Boeing 777.
 Perhaps the best visualization of what the issue is, comes from Vagelis Karmiros who has collated all the recent MH-17 flight paths as tracked by Flightaware and shows that while all ten most recent paths pass safely well south of the Donetsk region, and cross the zone above the Sea of Azov, it was only today’s tragic flight that passed straight overhead Donetsk.”
Today's Media Circus ~ Malaysian Airlines MH370 and MH17. A Criminologist Questions: What are the Probabilities? Is it a Mere Coincidence? MH%2017%20flight%20paths_0
 The Karmiros evidence could of course be wrong, but can we prove that it is wrong now, and can we be 100% confident that what the MSM tells us is true?
 And, if it’s wrong, why hasn’t the Karmiros evidence been refuted?  The answer to that is that it’s probably because it hasn’t received any discussion.  Why not?
 Next, here are a few other curious tidbits.  The flight 17 crash shares an anniversary with the demise of TWA 800, which AT’s own Jack Cashill has compellingly argued was, in fact, brought down by a missile on July 17, 1996 and subsequently covered up by the US government.  And, the maiden flight of flight 17 occurred in 1997 on the date of, you guessed it, July 17.
[Moreover Russia's last ruling monarch of the Romanov family Tsar Nicholas II, together with his wife Tsarina Alexandra and their five children Olga, Tatiana, Maria, Anastasia, and Alexei were executed on 17 July 1918. Subliminal message to Putin? No doubt it's another "coincidence"]
 So “17s” are everywhere.  To be sure, though, each of the items in the last paragraph is easily ranged under the heading “coincidence.”
But before we do that, there is one more piece of evidence to consider.  Upon having done so, we will synthesize all of the evidence by thinking in terms of probabilities.
 There is evidence at YouTube that seems to indicate that CNN recently used footage of a helicopter downing in Syria and represented it as depicting the downing of a helicopter, by pro-Russian forces, in the Ukraine (go to 2:39 for a photo comparison).
Now to the probabilistic summary.
Reasoning with probabilities is notoriously tricky, so we have to proceed carefully.  Fortunately, a simple coin flip analogy can be employed.  If you flip a fair 50/50 coin twice, four possible sequences can occur, and each has an equal likelihood of occurring {HH, HT, TH, TT}.  The equal likelihood of the possible sequences flows from the standard supposition that the coin flips are independent of one another, which is simply to say that an H on flip 1 says nothing about whether flip 2 will produce an H or a T.
The analogy with MH 17 is as follows.  If five months ago (before the vanishing of MH 370) you had contemplated the likelihood that the next two major airline disasters to receive massive global coverage would each involve Malaysia Airlines, you would have been justified in concluding that the likelihood was very low indeed.  By analogy, it would be like specifying only an {H, H} sequence as the outcome ahead of time (a {T, T} sequence would represent the same airline as having been involved, but not Malaysia Airlines).
 Now what the Western mainstream media are implicitly arguing is that MH 370 and MH 17 have no real link and are only connected with massive airline disasters in recent months by chance; they’re saying that it could just as well have been any two flights so linked (by analogy, {H, H} or {H, T} or {T, H} or {T, T}).  If this argument is valid, nothing at all should be made at all of the fact that Malaysia Airlines was involved in both instances, since all possible sequences are accounted for and no sequence is much more likely than any other.
And yet, the evidence presented in this article suggests that MH 370 and MH 17 are linked in ways that might not be due to chance.  Both MH 370 and MH 17 appear to have lost communicative contact, and both appear to have veered off course on very unusual routes.  How many aircraft of other airlines have done so in recent months, never mind how many of the 55 aircraft over Donetsk did so on July 17?  How many aircraft other than MH 17 had their inaugural voyage on the date of July 17?
These considerations suggest that, in fact, in the cases of MH 370 and MH 17 we might not be dealing with a “fair coin.”

In turn, the following very reasonable question presents itself: was Malaysia Airlines in particular targeted on July 17, and, if so, what ragtag rebel would have even been in a position to do that (especially given the route alteration, if true), and, if so, how did they accomplish it?
 One suspects that the MSM will completely ignore these considerations and will likely coalesce, for several reasons, around an account that blames the episode on an accidental discharge that Putin can nonetheless be blamed for given the hostilities in the region.
However that may be, one thing is almost certainly true: the likelihood that Western MSM would in any way, shape, or form discuss evidence implicating U.S. aligned interests in the demise of MH 17 is virtually nil, no matter how compelling such evidence might be.
Dr. Jason Kissner is Associate Professor of Criminology at California State University. Dr. Kissner’s research on gangs and self-control has appeared in academic journals.  His current empirical research interests include active shootings.   You can reach him at crimprof2010@hotmail.com.






Last edited by PurpleSkyz on Mon Jul 21, 2014 6:40 pm; edited 1 time in total



  

PurpleSkyz

PurpleSkyz
Admin
July 21, 2014

VT’s Scathing Report on MH17: Working Group Established [video]

Today's Media Circus ~ Malaysian Airlines MH370 and MH17. A Criminologist Questions: What are the Probabilities? Is it a Mere Coincidence? A20aea262b8e501c5a0f6a7067006c311-e1405820260321-640x253
MH17 Working Group Established
So Far, the Winner is ICTS and Schipol Airport, “Crotch Bomber” Redux
 
… by  Gordon Duff   and  Jim Dean,  VT Editors
with a cast of about a dozen
 
[ Note:   Ukrainian Prosecutor-General Vitaly Yarema told Ukrainian Pravda newspaper on Friday, "Militias in the self-proclaimed Donetsk and Luhansk people’s republics do not have Ukrainian air defense missile systems Buk and S-300 at their disposal"..."After the passenger airliner was downed, the military reported to the president that terrorists do not have our air defense missile systems Buk and S-300,” the general prosecutor said. “These weapons were not seized.”
"The Russians did it" story has crashed and burned. The the media overkill..."killed it", all of them playing off the same talking points notes, no one even bothering to ask the most basic investigative journalist questions like "Show me the evidence you have."
Who do you know, what country, that has a track record of pulling that kind of media and sock puppet politician coordination off whenever they want to, having them all singing like they are in a choir? ]
 
Today's Media Circus ~ Malaysian Airlines MH370 and MH17. A Criminologist Questions: What are the Probabilities? Is it a Mere Coincidence? ImagesWe have found one engine damaged.  It initially looked like an air to air missile hit it.  We see signs of fire but there is a question as to whether damage is consistent with a shape charge from an air to air missile.  Input from qualified folks welcomed as always.
The BUK is off the table.  We have reviewed it extensively and an S300 is capable but not a BUK.  It “says” it will do it but experts have ruled otherwise.  We have tons of supporting material already.
Additionally, were a ground launched missile used, we would have had sat [satellite] photos already.  If we get them later, it will mean they have been cooked.
From Rense.com, sent in by Jeff Rense:







This plane is intact.  Ours would have fallen in pieces based on wreckage.
Human intel on the ground has given us much.  We are taking our time and want more.  The YouTube is very telling, engine on fire.  However, the wreckage indicates bomb thus far.   We, however, aren’t interested in guessing ourselves to death. We leave that to the slime media.
We have issues involving one Israeli jet from Azerbaijan.  We have issues about ICTS in Schipol.  We have issues about air traffic controllers in Kiev.  We have issues about SU 27s trailing the plane.  We have issues about “foreign” advisors in Kiev with the military who moved on the airport tower.
We are also looking for an AWAC in the area.  The bomb or whatever would have needed an AWAC or an F15 with advanced radar to time the crash.
Thus far the Putin assassination story that RT ran seems “off.”  We can do nothing with it so we won’t deal with it now.
What can’t be ignored is the manipulated media and the politicians who are making asses of themselves.  They are pointing a gun right at Israel.  The smell is overwhelming.  Next, someone will ask how many Jews were on board.  As the plane was leaving the Netherlands for a medical conference, I would think the number to be substantial, 20 or more.  Is this a fair way to look at this?  Perhaps that should be discussed as well.
And who would destroy two fully packed airliners of a country they were angry with, to make an example? Is this enough to go on?  In reality, it is more powerful, following a cover up, than any other evidence.  Everything else can be faked.  The “stupidity” is for real. Yes, they are that stupid.
Today's Media Circus ~ Malaysian Airlines MH370 and MH17. A Criminologist Questions: What are the Probabilities? Is it a Mere Coincidence? 29aa9a7e08693c1c5a0f6a7067004b6b-e1405822281858-640x340
The dead want vengeance – and we aim to please
Source


Thanks to: http://2012thebigpicture.wordpress.com



  

PurpleSkyz

PurpleSkyz
Admin
Monday, July 21, 2014

Russia Proving Ukraine shot down MH17, not through Propaganda but through irrefutable satellite images of Military jet and missile systems

Source Link: Sherrie Questioning All Blog


Today's Media Circus ~ Malaysian Airlines MH370 and MH17. A Criminologist Questions: What are the Probabilities? Is it a Mere Coincidence? Russia+proof


All the propaganda coming out of the U.S. and Ukraine, along with the U.K. and Australia regarding Russia separatist are the ones who shot down MH17.

Russia is now proving that the information released about a Ukrainian military jet was there by MH17 when it went down is correct and the fact that Ukraine had BUK missile systems set up where the plane was shot down.

Russia has released satellite images and radar images showing the Ukraine military jet 2-3 km from MH17 and the images of the Ukraine BUK missile systems.

Here is what I want to know.

What will the U.S., U.K. and Australia demand be done against Ukraine as it is proven they shot down MH17?  Will they demand sanctions?  Will they demand NATO go in against Ukraine?



Russia's video showing what happened with MH17 from the defense ministry - has English translation



More articles about MH17 I have posted:




Bombshell - Air Traffic Controller in Kiev said Ukrainian military shot down plane
http://sherriequestioningall.blogspot.com/2014/07/bombshell-air-traffic-controller-in.html


Absolute Reason why the U.S. could have been behind the shooting down of MH17
http://sherriequestioningall.blogspot.com/2014/07/absolute-reason-why-us-would-be-behind.html


Missile Guidance system intercepted in Finland going to Ukraine from Vietnam
http://sherriequestioningall.blogspot.com/2014/07/missile-guidance-system-being-smuggled.html


Ukraine routed MH 17 through War Zone, not normal route and had them fly lower than they requested
http://sherriequestioningall.blogspot.com/2014/07/ukraine-air-traffic-control-routed-mh17.html


No other countries are blaming Russia for MH17 except the U.S., U.K. and Australia

http://sherriequestioningall.blogspot.com/2014/07/us-is-only-country-blaming-russia-for.html



http://sherriequestioningall.blogspot.com/2014/07/russia-proving-ukraine-shot-down-mh17.html Posted by enerchi at 7/21/2014 01:44:00 PM


Thanks to: http://www.ascensionwithearth.com



  

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