The great debate goes on! Winter 2015/16: Record cold or record warm....One thing for sure with a monster El-Nino records will be smashed!
As the latest report from NOAA shows the global average temperature at a record high for September and January to September and record warm temperatures for parts of the US east coast for October and a very mild beginning to winter in western Europe but with the giant 'Blob' of cold ocean at the top of the Gulf Stream and the threat of a Godzilla El-Nino the great debate goes on.....warm or bitterly cold winter?
With temperatures this week hovering in the high teens, Holland is just as warm as North Africa, as a wonderful Indian summer grips this part of the world, see picture left, which I took yesterday morning, but what is in store for the rest of this winter for the US and Europe as conflicting messages are being banded around by the experts!
Here are the highlights from the NOAA report for September....
Global average temperature record high for September and January to September;
Separately, global oceans and global land were both highest on record for these periods of time.
The September average temperature across global land and ocean surfaces was 1.62°F (0.90°C) above the 20th century average&mdash.
This was the highest September temperature on record, surpassing the previous record set last year by +0.12°F (+0.19°C).
September's high temperature was also the greatest rise above average for any month in the 136-year historical record, surpassing the previous record set in both February and March this year by 0.02°F (0.01°C).
The September globally-averaged land surface temperature was 2.09°F (1.16°C) above the 20th century average.
This was also the highest for September in the 1880–2015 record, surpassing the previous record set in 2009 by +0.16°F (+0.09°C).
Record warmth was observed across much of South America and parts of Africa, the Middle East, Europe, and Asia.
The September globally-averaged sea surface temperature was 1.46°F (0.81°C) above the 20th century average.
This was the highest temperature for September in the 1880–2015 record, surpassing the previous record set in 2014 by +0.13°F (+0.07°C).
On September 11th, Arctic sea ice reached its annual minimum extent at 1.70 million square miles, the fourth smallest extent in the 1979–2015 satellite record, according to the National Snow and Ice Data Center.
This was 699,000 square miles below the 1981–2010 average, but 394,000 square miles larger than the record small minimum that occurred in 2012.
The average Arctic sea ice extent for September 2015 was 720,000 square miles (28.88 percent) below the 1981–2010 average.
This was the fourth smallest September extent since records began in 1979, according to analysis by the National Snow and Ice Data Center using data from NOAA and NASA.
Below-average sea ice was observed across most regions of the Arctic, while near-average sea ice was observed in the Barents Sea.
Antarctic sea ice extent during September 2015 was 100,000 square miles (0.53 percent) below the 1981–2010 average.
This was the 16th smallest Antarctic sea ice extent on record and smallest since 2008.
The maximum Antarctic sea extent was not reached until the month of October, and will be reported next month. Global highlights:
Year-to-date (January–September 2015) the year-to-date temperature across global land and ocean surfaces was 1.53°F (0.85°C) above the 20th century average.
This was the highest for January–September in the 1880–2015 record, surpassing the previous record set in 2014 by 0.19°F (0.12°C).
The year-to-date globally-averaged land surface temperature was also the highest for January–September in the 1880–2015 record at 2.32°F (1.29°C) above the 20th century average.
This value surpassed the previous record of 2007 by 0.31°F (0.17°C).
The year-to-date globally-averaged sea surface temperature was 1.24°F (0.69°C) above the 20th century average and the highest for January–September in the 1880–2015 record.
This value surpassed the previous record of 2010 by +0.11°F (+0.06°C).
Full NOAA report here
As per usual NOAA is only focused on warming and one again there is no mention of 'The Blob!'
The Blob is a huge part of the North Atlantic Ocean which is reported as being colder than ever before and this is highly significant because it is the northern most part of the Gulf Stream which warms the eastern part of the US and Europe.
And with the arrival of EL-NINO the winter of 2015/16 is going to be a winter to remember!
Thanks to: http://www.thebigwobble.org