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 MUST READ:NEWS, RUMORS & ARTICLES AT dinardetectives.com 1-3-13

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ymoilman2



Posts : 4613
Join date : 2012-01-04

PostSubject: MUST READ:NEWS, RUMORS & ARTICLES AT dinardetectives.com 1-3-13   Thu Jan 03, 2013 6:54 am

NEWS, RUMORS & ARTICLES AT dinardetectives.com 1-3-13

1-3-13 BGG & Poppy3: Streaming Updates Call Today - Jan 3rd 11:30am cst, 12:20pm est with BGG and Poppy3 – Just click on the “Straight Talk Radio” banner @ www.dinarupdates.com/blog and listen!! Comment

1-3-13 Iraq Overview (Recaps): WHILE WE HAVEN'T YET SEEN THE ACTION THAT MANY ANTICIPATED HAPPENING BY NOW, ....REMEMBER THAT THE IRAQIS ARE NOTORIOUS FOR SLOW VOTING DUE TO NEW COALITIONS, EVEN WHEN THEY ARE COMMITTED TO AN OUTCOME, AS EACH NEW VOTING DECISION HAS TO BE RECONCILED WITH A VOTING COALITION AGREEMENT ON EARLIER VOTES.

MOST IRAQI VOTES ARE WITH FRIENDS AND FOES, ISSUE BY ISSUE, NOT CONSISTENTLY BY IDEOLOGY....SO NEW VOTING COALITIONS ARE SHORT LIVED CHANGING FREQUENTLY, WHICH MAKES DECISIONS TO VOTE WITH A NEW COALITION, QUITE COMPLEX.

HOWEVER, AS INDICATED BELOW, MOST IRAQI ANALYSTS EXPECT THAT WE COULD SEE LOTS OF RELATIVELY FAST MOVING POLITICAL ACTION ....ANNOUNCED ALONG THE WAY....THROUGHOUT THE NEXT WEEK OR TWO, INCLUDING:

1) FORMAL ANNOUNCEMENT OF TALIBANI STROKE INCAPACITATION;

2) TALABANI REPLACEMENT NAMED (PROBABLY BARZANI);

3) MALIKI CORRUPTION CHARGES (PROBABLY CBI MONEY LAUNDERING AND/OR THEFT ...AND MALIKI RUSSIAN ARMS DEAL CORRUPTION);

4) MALIKI (SHIITE) RELIEVED FROM PRIME MINISTER POST;

5) MALIKI REPLACEMENT NAMED (PROBABLY FAYAD, RUBAEI, OR JAFARI (ALL SHIITES) BY NATIONAL ALLIANCE AND APPROVED BY PARLIAMENT;

6) NATIONAL MEETING CALLED;

7) INDEPENDENT FED AND SUPREME COURT AS WELL AS INDEPENDENT INTEGRITY COMMISSION LAWS PASSED, AND INDEPENDENT CENTRAL BANK OF IRAQ (CBI) VALIDATED; 8) AMNESTY, HCL, 140, ERBIL, ETC, LAWS/AGREEMENTS ENACTED BY NEW PRIME MINISTER;.....

AND THEN 9)....OUR FAVORITE....AN ANNOUNCEMENT OF AN IRAQI DINAR RV.

AS A WAY OF SUMMARY, THE IRAQI PARLIAMENTARY SCENE IS VERY STRANGE, BY WESTERN STANDARDS: THERE HAS BEEN DEAD SILENCE FROM IRAQI POLITICIANS, RIGHT IN THE MIDDLE OF THEIR POLITICAL CRISIS, OVER THE LAST 5 DAYS: ARE THE IRAQI POLITICIANS SIMPLY WORKING THE DEAL IN PRIVATE? COULD IT BE THAT HAVE MOST OF THE ABOVE ACTIONS BEEN AGREED TO, BUT SIMPLY JUST NOT ANNOUNCED?? IS THERE A STALEMATE ON EITHER CHOOSING A TALABANI REPLACEMENT OR THE PROCESS OF DOING SO??... AND/OR A STALEMATE REGARDING THE SPECIFICS AND PROCESS REGARDING MALIKI CORRUPTION ARREST, RELIEF FROM PRIME MINISTER POST, AND MALIKI REPLACEMENT?? ...WE WILL LIKELY SOON SEE.

AS YOU HAVE PROBABLY NOTED MANY TIMES BEFORE, IRAQIS ARE KNOWN TO TRY TO AGREE ON EVRYTHING, BEFORE ANNOUNCING ANYTHING...

SEE BELOW FOR THE LATEST UPDATE ON WHY IT IS WIDELY BELIEVED, BY LEADING IRAQI ANALYSTS, THAT A DINAR-RV-ENABLING DEAL COULD BE IMMINENT:

I. VERY SERIOUS PRESSURE POINTS ARE BEING THREATENED TO ASAP FORCE IRAQ-MALIKI-NATIONAL ALLIANCE COALITION TO IMPLEMENT GOVERNMENT SHARING AND NEW LAWS, INCLUDING: SECURITY CABINET POSITIONS SHARED WITH OTHER PARTIES : POLICE, PRISONS, ARMY, INTELLIGENCE; WOMEN AND PRISON HUMAN RIGHTS, RELIGIOUS AFFIRMATIVE ACTION, AND OTHER KEY PRO-DEMOCRACY PROGRAMS (ERBIL, SECURITY MINISTERS, INDEPENDENT COURTS, INDEPENDENT ELECTORAL COMMISSION, INDEPENDENT CBI, HCL, ARTICLE 140, ETC): SEE BELOW FOR MAJOR INDIVIDUAL AND COLLECTIVE PRESSURE TO FORCE ACTION BY MALIKI AND HIS SHIITE PARTY:

1--THE US THREATENS TO RELEASE NEARLY $1 TRILLION OF IRAQI MONEY HELD , MAKING THE MONEY VULNERABLE TO LEGAL CHALLENGE FROM DEBTORS TO IRAQ

2--THE US THREATENS TO WITHHOLD MILITARY DEFENSE EQUIPMENT (JETS, ANTI-MISSILE SYSTEMS, ETC) PREVIOUSLY PROMISED TO IRAQ

3--THE US THREATENS TO BLOCK IRAQ CHAPTER VII RELEASE (A REAL PRIDE POINT TO IRAQ)

4--THE US THREATENS TO RELEASE SIX YEARS WORTH OF CORRUPTION FILES AS WELL AS TO RELEASE ALL SECRET TELEPHONE RECORDINGS, ON ALL POLITICIANS

5--THE TOP IRANIAN MILITARY COMMANDER, QUASSEN SOMEIMANI, TELLS MALIKI THAT IRAN WILL STOP ALL SUPPORT FOR MALIKI, IF MALIKI CONTINUES HIS STUPID ACTIONS RELATED TO MALIKI SHORT TERM PERSONAL, POWER SEEKING MOTIVES, VERSUS LONGER TERM SHIITE MOTIVES

6--KURDISTAN THREATENS TO STOP SHIPPING OIL, DEPRIVING BAGDAD OF INCOME

7--IRAQI PARLIAMENT USES A TEMPORARY OFFER OF IMMUNITY TO IRAQI INDIVIDUALS TO TESTIFY AGAINST MALIKI, TO GAIN EVIDENCE FOR AN ARREST, WHICH IN TURN WOULD ENABLE RELIEVING MALIKI FROM PRIME MINISTER POSITION, UNTIL PROVEN INNOCENT...DIFFERENT SYSTEM THAN IN THE US.

8--SUNNI (HASHEMI, ISSAWI, NAJAFI, MUTLAG) AND SHIITES (SADR) ARE ORGANIZING ARAB-SPRING-LIKE STREET MARCHING PROTESTS AGAINST MALIKI TO GET THE IRAQI PEOPLE BEHIND REPLACING MALIKI.

9--UNITED NATIONS AND OTHER SENIOR IRAQ POLITICAL LEADERS THREATEN TO THROW NATIONAL ALLIANCE UNDER THE BUS, WITH MALIKI, IF THEY DONT REPLACE MALIKI ASAP

10--KURDISTAN THREATENING POWER SHIFT THROUGH BUSINESS AND MILITARY SUPPORT ALLIANCE WITH SUNNI TURKEY, AROUND BAGDAD

11--KURDISTAN THREATENING TO SECEDE FROM IRAQ

12--MANY FROM MALIKI'S NATIONAL ALLIANCE COALITION THREATEN TO VOTE WITH THE KURDS AND THE SUNNIS MALIKI AND HIS PRIGRAMS.

II. THIS IS CLASSIC CHICKEN/EGG PRESSURE: 1) NEED TO FIRST: BECAUSE MALIKI IS VICIOUS AGAINST THOSE OPPED TO HIM) ASAP INSTALL TALABANI REPLACEMENT AND ASAP NEW CORRUPTION CASES NEED TO BE BROUGHT AGAINST MAKIKI TO FORCE RELIEF OF MALIKI FROM THE PRIME MINISTER POSITION (CBI LED LEGAL CASE FOR MALIKI CHARGED MONEY THEFT AND LAUNDERING, CORRUPT RUSSIAN ARMS DEAL, AND UNITED NATIONS SANCTIONS BROKEN BY MALIKI ), .........TO SHOW SERIOUS INTENT TO MEMBERS OF PARLIAMENT THAT THERE IS WIDE SPREAD SUPPORT TO REPLACE MALIKI........AS WELL AS HAVING INDEPENDENT FEDERAL AND SUPREME COURT LAWS APPROVED (SO MALIKI CANT BRING BOGUS CLAIMS AGAINST THEM) .....

......BEFORE THEN BEING ABLE TO GET MEMBERS OF PARLIAMENT TO HAVE THE ANTI-MALIKI COURAGE TO COLLECTIVELY MUSTER SUFFICIENT IRAQI PARLIAMENT QUORUM-VOTES AGAINST MALIKI POSITIONS, BY VOTING FOR HCL, ARTICLE 140, AMNESTY, AND PRESSURING TO GET THE NATIONAL ALLIANCE COALITION (MALIKI'S COALITION OARTY) TO REPLACE THEIR OWN, MALIKI, WITH A BETTER MORE WIDELY ACCEPTED (ACROSS ALL IRAQI RELIGIONS AND PARTIES) CANDIDATE FOR PRIME MINISTER WHO IS A PRO-PEOPLE, PRO-DEMOCRACY PRIME MINISTER.

III. MALIKI, IS CLEARLY SHOWING THAT HE IS PANICKED IN THAT HIS POLITICAL WORLD IS ABOUT TO COLLAPSE, BUT HE NOTES HESITATION ON THE NAMING OF A TALABANI REPLACEMENT AND HE NOTES DELAY IN OTHERS BRINGING CORRUPTION CHARGES AGAINST HIM, AND AS A RESULT, MALIKI DOES MULTIPLE "HAIL-MARY" POLITICALLY "PASSES" (NONE SEEM TO BE DOING ANY MORE THAN TO IRRITATE FRIENDS AND FOES ALIKE, TO RESULT IN BITH JOINING POLITICAL FORCES AGAINST MALIKI) TO TAKE ADVANTAGE OF THESE SITUATIONS BY DOING A BUNCH OF ACTIONS TO SIMULTANEOUSLY DELAY, DISTRACT WITH CHAOS, AS WELL AS AVOID BEING CALLED TO PARLIAMENT TO FORCE HIS DISCUSSION IF CORRUPTION CHARGES, INCLUDING:

--1--STAYING OUT OF IRAQ BY VISITING JORDAN AND IRAN ON "BUSINESS"

--2--MALIKI DECLARING THAT HE HAS CLAIMS A BOGUS HEART CONDITION REQUIRING MANY HOSPITAL TESTS.

--3--SENDING TROOPS INTO KURDISH OWNED DISPUTED REGIONS, TO QUELL DEMONSTRATIONS AGAINST MALIKI

--4--LAST MINUTE DECLARATION OF WEDNESDAY, DEC 26TH AND A FEW MORE DAYS AFTER...AS A CHRISTIAN HOLIDAY, NEGATING PARLIAMENT FROM BEING ABLE TO MEET, AND/OR TO LOSE ATTENDANCE OF THE CHRISTIAN MP VOTE

--5--ATTEMPT TO GET THE COURTS TO STRIKE MALIKI NAME FROM BEING INCLUDED IN THE RUSSIAN ARMS CORRUPTION CASE

--6--MALIKI SIMPLY IGNORES PARLIAMENT REQUEST TO APPEAR IN THE "WELL" FOR QUESTIONING RE CORRUPTION IN RUSSIAN ARMS DEAL

--7--ARRESTING LOTS OF PARTICULARLY SUNNI PEOPLE SURROUNDING ALL THOSE (ISSAWI, HASHEMI, SHABIBBI, ETC) THAT HAVE BROUGHT CORRUPTION EVIDENCE AGAINST MALIKI

--8--MALIKI TRAVELS TO JORDAN IN AN ATTEMPT TRYING TO BUY OFF (WITH MORE FREE OIL AND AN AGREEMENT FOR IRAQI OIL REFINERY) THOSE IN JORDANIAN CBI TO WITHDRAW EVIDENCE SHOWING MALIKI'S ILLEGAL MONEY LOCATED IN MALIKI PSEUDO NAME BANK ACCOUNTS?????

--9--MALIKI SHUTTING DOWN TV , NEWSPAPERS, AND RADIO STATIONS IF THEY REPORT ON MALIKI CORRUPTION CHARGES

--10--MALIKI AGAIN PUSHING FOR HIS (VERSUS ALLAWI'S CLEAR RIGHT) CHOICE ON SECURITY MINSTERS

--11--MALIKI AGAIN REFUSING TO PAY OWED, AND PREVIOUSLY AGREED, $$TO OIL CONTRACTORS IN KURDISTAN

--12--REFUSAL TO PROVIDE PERSONAL, FORENSIC FINANCIAL INFO TO SHOW HOW SOURCES AND USES OF $$MATCH UP

--13--MALIKI CALLING FOR LIFTING OF PARLIAMENT MEMBERS, IF THEY COMPLAIN ABOUT THEIR GOVERNMENT OR COMPLAIN ABOUT MALIKI OUTSIDE OF GOVERNMENT

--14--ATTEMPTING TO START SEVERAL SMALL CIVILN WARS: KDP VS PUK PARTIES IN KURDISTAN; SUNNIS VERSUS SHIITES IN IRAQ; TRYING TO DRAW SYRIA SUNNIS, AND TURKISH KURDS INTO THE FREY.

IV. SO GAME ON: WE WAIT.

STAY TUNED. I WILL UPDATE AS KEY ACHIEVEMENTS (AS OUTLINED ABOVE) OCCUR.

MANY OF THE BETTER IRAQI DINAR ANALYSYS BELIEVE, AS INDICATED ABOVE, THAT THE RV IS IMMINENT, ONE MORE TIME.

WHILE I SHARE THEIR OVERALL ENTHUSIASM, AND AN RV IN 2012 COULD STILL BE POSSIBLE, I THINK AN RV IS MORE LIKELY TO OCCUR BEFORE JAN 15TH, 2013, THAN IN 2012.

BEST REGARDS AND HAPPY HOLIDAYS.
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